Economic Modelling Consultant

Please note that the deadline is based on Korean Standard Time Zone (KST, UTC+9)

INTRODUCTION TO GGGI
The Global Green Growth Institute (GGGI) is a treaty-based international, inter-governmental organization dedicated to supporting and promoting strong, inclusive and sustainable economic growth in developing countries and emerging economies. To learn more please visit about GGGI web page.

GENERAL INFORMATION
Project: National Adaptation Plan (NAP) for the Agriculture and Forestry Sectors of Paraguay
Workplace: Asunción, Paraguay
Approximate duration of the consultancy: 11 months (198 days)
Part-time/Full-time: Full-time
Consultant Level: Level 4
PROJECT BACKGROUND
GGGI has been active in Paraguay since 2018, collaborating with the Government of Paraguay to advance green growth policies and investments. Key partners include the Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Development (MADES), the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF), and Paraguay’s Development Finance Agency (AFD), driving progress across various sectors.
In partnership with MADES and MEF, GGGI is launching a new Green Climate Fund (GCF)-funded technical assistance project titled “National Adaptation Plan (NAP) for the Agriculture and Forestry Sectors of Paraguay.” This initiative aims to develop Paraguay’s NAP, which will strengthen the country’s resilience to climate change by addressing key adaptation barriers in the agriculture and forestry sectors and creating a national adaptation guiding framework. The project will enable the Government of Paraguay to enhance its climate change adaptation information systems, integrate adaptation into national frameworks, promote inclusive and climate-resilient practices in agriculture and forestry, and foster private sector participation.

Key objectives include:

Enhance data and monitoring systems: Strengthen Paraguay’s capacity to generate, manage, and utilize comprehensive, up-to-date data on climate change risks and impacts. This will support the development, tracking, and refinement of adaptation strategies, plans, and projects while fostering an evidence-based approach to adaptation.
Mainstream adaptation into national policy and planning frameworks: Improve the alignment of national policies, planning frameworks, and governance structures with Paraguay’s adaptation objectives. This includes mainstreaming resilience into sectoral strategies and ensuring coherence across the agriculture and forestry sectors.
Promote inclusive and climate-resilient agriculture and forestry practices: Develop and implement targeted adaptation measures that address the needs of vulnerable and marginalized populations. These actions will promote CSA and forestry practices, ensuring equitable access to resources and participation in decision-making processes.
Strengthen private sector engagement: Develop policy instruments and economic incentives to actively involve the private sector in climate adaptation initiatives. This includes fostering public-private partnerships and creating investment opportunities that align with national adaptation goals.

OBJECTIVES OF THE ASSIGNMENT
Under the framework of this project, MADES, MEF and GGGI are recruiting an Economic Modeling Consultant. The objective of this position is to conduct economic modeling and cost-benefit assessments to provide technical expertise to evaluate adaptation actions and prioritize investment for the NAP for Paraguay's agriculture and forestry sectors.

The key tasks of this consultant position are as follows:

Assessing the economic impact of climate change on the agriculture, livestock and forestry sectors
Estimate the costs of implementing adaptation actions and the financial gaps for their implementation
Estimate the costs of inaction of adaptation efforts and loss and damage
Collect national data for macroeconomic modeling.
Identify data gaps from national sources.
Collect missing data from international sources and search for international sources or proxies.
Collect and analyze data on the costs of climate change impacts on agriculture, livestock, and forestry in the period 1990 to 2020.
Track, compile, and analyze adaptation measures implemented in Paraguay in agriculture, livestock, and forestry since 1990, and identify best practices.
Compile the costs of successful adaptation measures globally in agriculture, livestock, and forestry.

SCOPE OF WORK
The Economic Modelling Consultant will be part of the Readiness Technical Unit (RTU) which consists of a Senior Climate Change Adaptation Officer, Agriculture Officer, Forestry Officer, Public Policy Consultant, GESI Consultant, Climate Vulnerability Consultant, Climate Services Coordination Consultant and Senior Communication Assistant.

The consultancy is expected to deliver the following key results:

Deliverables

Activities/Product

Amount

Due Date

1

Data collection for macroeconomic modeling and identifying data gaps

Collect national data for macroeconomic modelling to analyze the costs of climate change impacts on the agriculture and forestry sectors and the costs of adaptation measures.

Identification of data gaps in Paraguay.

Develop a data collection plan to address and mitigate existing information and data gaps

(10%)

December 15, 2025

2

Economic impact assessment of climate change on the agriculture and forestry sectors

Contribute to the evaluation and estimation of climate risks in the agriculture and forestry sectors, focusing on their associated financial costs.

Analyze data on the costs of climate change impacts on the agricultural and forestry sectors in the period from 1990 to 2020 in Paraguay.

Analyze the influence of climate variability on commodity prices, yields, and supply chains within the agriculture and forestry sectors.

Analyze the costs of adaptation measures identified in national reports, including NDC 3.0, National Communications and other relevant policy documents

Conduct a diagnostic study on the role of the private sector in implementing adaptation measures and its ability to access climate finance in Paraguay and internationally.

(20%)

March 30, 2026

3

Analysis and Estimation of Costs for the Implementation of adaptation measures for the agriculture and forestry sectors in Paraguay

Track, gather, and analyze adaptation measures implemented in Paraguay in agriculture, livestock, and forestry since 1990

Compile the costs of globally successful adaptation measures in agriculture, livestock, and forestry.

Make an advance estimate of the cost of implementation of the adaptation actions prioritized in the framework of the project for Paraguay for the agricultural and forestry sectors.

Estimate the cost of inaction of adaptation efforts and loss and damage.

Identify and quantify the economic benefits generated by the implementation of adaptation actions.

Estimate the financing gaps for the implementation of adaptation measures in Paraguay.

Estimate adaptation financing needs, including the volume, type, cost, and maturity of financing required to close the adaptation finance gap in Paraguay.

(40%)

June 30, 2026

4

Contribution to the identification, prioritization and selection of adaptation measures for the agriculture and forestry sectors

Present the estimate of the cost of implementation of the adaptation actions prioritized in the framework of the project for Paraguay for the agricultural and forestry sectors.

Conduct a financial feasibility assessment of the proposed adaptation actions to determine their feasibility and cost-effectiveness.

Support MEF, MADES, and CNCC in prioritizing proposed adaptation actions based on financial feasibility, costs and benefits, and alignment with national priorities.

Support the adaptation leader working with MADES in developing detailed implementation roadmaps for prioritized adaptation actions in the eastern and western regions, specifying timelines, responsible parties, barriers, costs, and sources of funding for each action.

Contribute to the development of a strategic roadmap to enhance data collection and analysis.

Compile a list of private sector-led adaptation projects in concept, design, and ready-to-build stage, to identify adaptation financing needs and financing measures and opportunities.

(30%)

September 30, 2026

The Consultant must integrate the comments of GGGI, MADES, MEF and the technical focal points of other institutions involved, within 7 days after receiving the comments or requests for modification of products. All reports will be produced in Spanish and will follow GGGI's format requirements and will be submitted along with full raw data sets, research materials, minutes, interviews, and participant listings. Executive summaries will be delivered in English, and the final consolidated product of the consultancy must include a full English translation.

Payments will be made against delivery of the products with prior approval from MADES, and approval from the GGGI Project Manager. The MEF must be in copy of all communications as Designated National Authority.

QUALIFICATIONS/EXPERIENCE/KNOWLEDGE
Master's degree or higher in fields such as economics, public policy, statistics, or related fields
Proven experience in economic evaluation of climate change policies and actions.
At least 5 years of professional experience working in cost-benefit analysis, preferably in the public or development sector.
Proven experience in financial analysis and proposal development for climate change projects.
Fluency in Spanish and English is required.

ADMINISTRATIVE INFORMATION
During the first week of assignment the consultant will define the reporting arrangements of the consultancy, in consultation with the NDA and the Project Manager.
The consultant will work from MEF’s and MADES´s office to ensure smooth communication and cooperation, data collection, and on-the-job training.
Date to close is Korean Standard Time (KST). Applications submitted after the deadline will not be considered Application. Cover Letter, and CV must be sent in English. A consortium, or a firm may not be engaged for the individual consultant assignment.