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Add to Preferred SourcesNew data shows a further slowdown in economic and trade growth due to prolonged tensions, lower commodity prices, and the COVID-19 pandemic in the APEC region.
“Persistent uncertainty is testing our resilience; trade and technology tensions and post Brexit concerns all contributed to the lackluster economic activity in 2019. The severity and uncertainty as to the duration of the COVID-19 pandemic further aggravate the ongoing challenges,” said Dr. Denis Hew, Director of the APEC Policy Support Unit.
According to the latest APEC Regional Trends Analysis, the Asia-Pacific recorded weaker economic growth at 3.6 percent in 2019, compared to 4.2 percent in 2018.
With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic beginning earlier this year, a gloomier outlook is predicted for APEC in 2020. The region’s economic growth is expected to post a record decline of 2.7 percent in 2020, which is contingent on the effective containment of the virus and the implementation of economic measures.
The report shows a substantial decline in merchandise trade volume and value in the APEC region due to the implementation of various trade-restrictive measures such as anti-dumping, tariffs, duties and other levies.
Growth in the volume of merchandise exports dropped significantly to 0.6 percent in 2019, compared to 4.3 percent in 2018, while the volume of merchandise imports turned negative in 2019 after a 4.9 percent expansion in 2018.
Similarly, the value of APEC’s merchandise exports and imports contracted by 1.9 percent and 2.9 percent in 2019, respectively.
Contrary to the merchandise trade numbers, the region’s trade in services remained positive in 2019, albeit at lower levels than in 2018. The trade-in services’ global growth is attributed to the increasing demand for digital technology services and automated services solutions, among others.
Fiscal and monetary support to mitigate the economic impact of containment measures, as well as stimulus packages are some of the key policy maneuvers that can be used for the uphill battle towards recovery.
Original source: APEC
Published on 28 May 2020